Forgevs
York United
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forge 5-0 York United
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.1% | 66.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 6.50 | 14.0% | 14.5% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForgeWDDDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
York UnitedLWLDL
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
ForgeYork United
51.4Attack51.4
76.4Defence23.6
69.4Form33.3
67.3Power38.2
2.76xG0.69