Forgevs
York United
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Forge 2-0 York United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Forge 1-1 York United
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.8% | 78.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.38 | 16.9% | 14.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 9.82 | 9.3% | 7.0% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Forge 2–0 York United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
78.5%
Model confidence
78.5%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForgeDLWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
York UnitedLDWDL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeYork United
49.1Attack43.1
75.4Defence27.5
71.9Form35.3
67.7Power37.6
2.51xG0.57