Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Forge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while York 9 FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
80.6%
Model confidence
80.6%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00