Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
16%
HighconfidenceForge are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while York 9 FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the Canadian Premier League, favouring Forge with 15.8% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
82.2%
Model confidence
15.8%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForgeLDWWD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
York 9 FCDLLDL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeYork 9 FC
51.1Attack38.1
80.0Defence26.2
77.8Form33.3
71.8Power35.0
2.71xG0.50