Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Forge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while York 9 FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 36.8-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
80.6%
Model confidence
80.6%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00