Forgevs
Vancouver FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 7/28/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Forge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40