Forgevs
Vancouver FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 5/19/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Forge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80