GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 10/4/2025, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCLWWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeVancouver FC
51.1Attack51.0
80.0Defence66.7
77.8Form52.9
71.8Power57.2
1.15xG0.70
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