GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 7/5/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeLWDLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver FCWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeVancouver FC
51.1Attack51.0
80.0Defence66.7
77.8Form52.9
71.8Power57.2
1.15xG0.70
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