GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/18/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeVancouver FC
51.1Attack51.0
80.0Defence66.7
77.8Form52.9
71.8Power57.2
1.15xG0.70
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