Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Forge are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Valour are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 30.9-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20