Forgevs
Supra du Quebec
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 9/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.3% | 48.2% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.0% | 23.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 16.7% | 28.0% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForgeWDDLW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Supra du QuebecLLDWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ForgeSupra du Quebec
66.7Attack83.3
75.0Defence50.0
66.7Form66.7
68.8Power68.0
1.91xG1.50