GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/19/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HFX Wanderers FCWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
51.1Attack41.2
80.0Defence49.0
77.8Form33.3
71.8Power43.3
1.84xG0.55
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