GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/22/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
HFX Wanderers FCLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
51.1Attack41.2
80.0Defence49.0
77.8Form33.3
71.8Power43.3
1.84xG0.55
View match centre →