GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Championship · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Forge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 69.6-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Canadian Championship, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

9.8%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HFX Wanderers FCLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
77.8Attack0.0
77.8Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
76.6Power7.0
2.50xG1.05
View match centre →