Forgevs
HFX Wanderers FC
SCHEDULEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Forge are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40