Forgevs
HFX Wanderers FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forge 3-3 HFX Wanderers FC
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 62.8% | 58.4% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.4% | 23.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.81 | 15.8% | 18.0% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80