GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/14/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeWLWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HFX Wanderers FCLWLWL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
51.1Attack41.2
80.0Defence49.0
77.8Form33.3
71.8Power43.3
1.84xG0.55
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