Forgevs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 5/7/2024, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Forge are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CF Montreal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Montreal hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Canadian Championship, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40