GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 10/7/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

66.4%

Model confidence

66.4%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeLWWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético OttawaLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
51.1Attack52.1
80.0Defence39.6
77.8Form50.0
71.8Power49.6
2.12xG0.71
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