GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 6/25/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Forge are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

66.4%

Model confidence

66.4%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ForgeLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético OttawaWLWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
51.1Attack52.1
80.0Defence39.6
77.8Form50.0
71.8Power49.6
2.12xG0.71
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