Forgevs
Atlético Ottawa
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forge 3-0 Atlético Ottawa
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.5% | 61.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.2% | 21.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.92 | 18.3% | 16.3% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ForgeDDLWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético OttawaDWLWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
48.3Attack54.0
75.0Defence46.0
70.0Form54.0
66.6Power53.0
1.75xG0.76