Forgevs
Atlético Ottawa
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 5/9/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Forge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atlético Ottawa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.2% in the Canadian Championship, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60