Forfar Athleticvs
Stranraer
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forfar Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forfar Athletic 0-3 Stranraer
Original prediction
Forfar Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.8% | 36.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.2% | 30.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.0% | 33.5% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Forfar Athletic
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Forfar Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20