Forfar Athleticvs
Elgin City
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Forfar Athletic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Elgin City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the League Two, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elgin City
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20