GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cowdenbeath · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forfar Athletic are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cowdenbeath are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cowdenbeath hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (19.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the League Cup, while Cowdenbeath holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cowdenbeath

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Cowdenbeath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forfar AthleticWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
CowdenbeathLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Forfar AthleticCowdenbeath
25.0Attack16.7
0.0Defence66.7
25.0Form16.7
19.0Power36.5
1.17xG1.54
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