GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forfar Athletic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forfar Athletic are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forfar Athletic hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the League Two, while Forfar Athletic holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forfar Athletic

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Forfar Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forfar AthleticLDDDL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Forfar AthleticBonnyrigg Rose Athletic
33.3Attack43.5
83.3Defence55.6
66.7Form36.1
64.8Power45.7
1.38xG0.99
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