Forfar Athleticvs
Annan Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annan Athletic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forfar Athletic 1-0 Annan Athletic
Original prediction
Annan Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.3% | 30.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.3% | 26.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.4% | 43.2% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Annan Athletic
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Annan Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80