Forest Greenvs
Shrewsbury
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forest Green · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Forest Green are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shrewsbury are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forest Green hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Forest Green holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forest Green
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Forest Green has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20