GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Forest Green are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Salford City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Salford City hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the League Two, while Salford City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salford City

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Salford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forest GreenWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Salford CityLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Forest GreenSalford City
31.9Attack47.8
43.5Defence40.6
30.4Form37.0
37.2Power43.7
1.20xG1.51
View match centre →