Forest Greenvs
Oxford United
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Forest Green are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oxford United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oxford United hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the EFL Trophy, while Oxford United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oxford United
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Oxford United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80