Forest Greenvs
Hartlepool
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forest Green · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forest Green 2-4 Hartlepool
Original prediction
Forest Green
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.5% | 52.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.1% | 25.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.47 | 20.4% | 21.8% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Forest Green
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Forest Green has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20