Forest Greenvs
Gateshead
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forest Green · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forest Green 4-0 Gateshead
Original prediction
Forest Green
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 63.0% | 48.8% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.6% | 25.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 5.56 | 16.4% | 25.7% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Forest Green
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Forest Green has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40