Forest Greenvs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Forest Green are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.8 against 53.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the EFL Trophy, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.0%
Model confidence
34.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00