Forest Greenvs
Boston United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forest Green · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Forest Green 1-3 Boston United
Original prediction
Forest Green
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.6% | 51.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.6% | 23.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.8% | 24.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Forest Green
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Forest Green has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20