GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Forest Green are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Altrincham are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Forest Green hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 11.1% confidence, a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.2%

Model confidence

11.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Forest GreenWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AltrinchamLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Forest GreenAltrincham
100.0Attack61.8
33.3Defence55.6
100.0Form55.6
80.3Power57.8
1.68xG1.65
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