Foolad FCvs
Mes Shahr-e Babak
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Foolad FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Foolad FC 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Foolad FC 2-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak
Original prediction
Foolad FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 43.6% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.6% | 31.4% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.9% | 25.0% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
Foolad FC 0–0 Mes Shahr-e Babak
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Foolad FC
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Foolad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00