Foolad FCvs
Fajr Sepasi
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Foolad FC 0-0 Fajr Sepasi, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Foolad FC 1-0 Fajr Sepasi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.8% | 37.9% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.8% | 35.1% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.4% | 27.0% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Foolad FC 0–0 Fajr Sepasi
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Foolad FCLDWDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fajr SepasiDDWDD
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Foolad FCFajr Sepasi
26.7Attack20.0
80.0Defence86.7
40.0Form46.7
49.5Power54.5
0.66xG0.54