Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skeid · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Follo 2-0 Skeid
Original prediction
Skeid
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.5% | 37.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.3% | 21.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.1% | 41.2% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Skeid
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Skeid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FolloWLLLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SkeidWLWLL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FolloSkeid
41.7Attack51.4
29.2Defence27.8
23.6Form31.9
34.2Power37.3
1.98xG2.09