Follovs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
COMPLETEDNorway · NM Cupen · 9/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarpsborg 08 FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 3-2 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Follo 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF
Original prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15.16 | 6.1% | 27.0% | 21.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.72 | 11.9% | 21.3% | 9.4 pts |
| Away | 1.12 | 82.0% | 51.7% | -30.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.3–25%
Predicted outcome
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Sarpsborg 08 FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20