Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Follo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Follo are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Mjølner are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Follo hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (83.7 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Follo holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Follo
Probability
84.3%
Model confidence
84.3%
Follo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/1.00