Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Follo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Junkeren are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Junkeren hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Junkeren holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
10.7%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20