Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Follo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Grorud are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grorud hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Grorud holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
13.2%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60