Folkestone Invictavs
Horsham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folkestone Invicta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Folkestone Invicta 1-1 Horsham
Original prediction
Folkestone Invicta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 26.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.1% | 25.4% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Folkestone Invicta
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Folkestone Invicta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80