GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Folkestone Invicta are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hemel Hempstead Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Folkestone Invicta hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - South, favouring a draw with 12.3% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.8%

Model confidence

12.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Folkestone InvictaWWDDW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Hemel Hempstead TownDDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Folkestone InvictaHemel Hempstead Town
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.78xG1.07
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