Folkestone Invictavs
Hemel Hempstead Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folkestone Invicta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Original prediction
Folkestone Invicta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.7% | 50.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 25.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.2% | 24.1% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Folkestone Invicta
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Folkestone Invicta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20