Folkestone Invictavs
Farnham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folkestone Invicta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Folkestone Invicta 1-2 Farnham Town
Original prediction
Folkestone Invicta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.6% | 46.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.5% | 27.2% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.9% | 26.2% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Folkestone Invicta
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Folkestone Invicta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20