Folkestone Invictavs
Farnborough
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folkestone Invicta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Farnborough
Original prediction
Folkestone Invicta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.0% | 47.5% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.6% | 25.2% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Folkestone Invicta
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Folkestone Invicta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00