GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chatham Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Folkestone Invicta are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chatham Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chatham Town hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Chatham Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chatham Town

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Chatham Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Folkestone InvictaWWWWL

GF 21 · GA 6 · avg 4.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Chatham TownWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Folkestone InvictaChatham Town
47.6Attack66.7
43.7Defence33.3
39.7Form50.0
45.2Power51.0
1.63xG1.71
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