Folkestone Invictavs
AFC Totton
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folkestone Invicta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Folkestone Invicta 2-1 AFC Totton
Original prediction
Folkestone Invicta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.0% | 64.9% | 8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 20.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 14.9% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Folkestone Invicta
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
64.9%
Folkestone Invicta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20