Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folgore · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 02:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Folgore
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Folgore has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FolgoreWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VirtusWWWWD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FolgoreVirtus
83.3Attack50.0
91.7Defence83.3
100.0Form83.3
90.5Power75.3
1.69xG1.05