GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Coppa Titano · 9/28/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Folgore · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Folgore are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Pennarossa are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Folgore hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Coppa Titano, while Folgore holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Folgore

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Folgore has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FolgoreDW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
PennarossaLL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
FolgorePennarossa
41.7Attack33.3
75.0Defence16.7
58.3Form0.0
60.3Power21.5
1.62xG0.78
View match centre →